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BB Continues Tight Monetary Policy Stance for First Half of FY2025–26

Khabor Wala Desk

Published: 31st July 2025, 7:50 PM

BB Continues Tight Monetary Policy Stance for First Half of FY2025–26
Photo: Collected

The Bangladesh Bank (BB) has announced the continuation of its tight monetary policy stance for the first half of fiscal year 2025–26 (H1FY26), aiming to contain inflation and anchor inflation expectations, according to a statement delivered by BB Governor Dr Ahsan H. Mansur at a press conference held at the central bank headquarters today.

Policy Rates & Outlook

Instrument Rate Condition for Change
Policy Repo Rate 10.0% May be reduced if inflation falls below 7%
Standing Lending Facility (SLF) 11.5% Remains unchanged until further notice
Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) 8.0% Stable for now

Governor Mansur stated that if inflation continues to decline, the policy rate may be gradually adjusted downward once it ensures a real rate of 3%, enabling policy flexibility while maintaining macroeconomic stability.

Key Objectives of the Monetary Policy Statement (MPS)

  • Curb inflation further
  • Stabilise the exchange rate
  • Strengthen financial stability

Global Economic Context

Dr Mansur warned of mounting risks in the global economic environment, which could adversely affect Bangladesh’s exports:

  • Slowing global growth amid increased trade tensions and policy uncertainty
  • Rising tariffs from the United States, disrupting supply chains and fuelling financial market volatility
  • Easing global inflation due to weakening demand and falling hydrocarbon prices
  • Commodity prices forecasted to decline in 2025 and 2026

As such, global central banks may lean towards maintaining or reducing interest rates under current international economic conditions

Domestic Economic Conditions & BB’s Response

Upon assuming office in August 2024, the interim government inherited a macroeconomically challenging environment:

Major Challenges Status/Response
High inflation Tackled through tight monetary policy
Depreciating exchange rate Addressed via flexible market-based exchange rate regime
Shrinking foreign exchange reserves Improved via current account surplus and reduced import bills
Rising external payment arrears Being cleared as reserves stabilise
Tight liquidity conditions Easing gradually with coordinated fiscal-monetary support
Lack of good governance in banking Targeted by administrative and structural reforms
Elevated non-performing loans (NPLs) Addressed with reforms and upcoming risk-based supervision (RBS) from Jan 2026

 

Exchange Rate Management

BB has transitioned to a fully flexible exchange rate regime since May 2025, which aims to:

  • Ensure market-based price discovery
  • Manage external imbalances
  • Strengthen foreign reserves
  • Compensate for declining export demand amid global tariff hikes
Measures for Exchange Stability Details
Reference Rate Publication Twice daily to guide interbank pricing
Market Intervention To reduce excessive volatility
Policy Consistency Exchange rate flexibility aligned with monetary and reserve management

 

Banking Sector Reforms

To restore good governance and confidence in the banking sector, BB has undertaken extensive reforms:

  • Implementation of risk-based supervision (RBS) starting January 2026
  • Development of bank resolution frameworks based on AQR (Asset Quality Review) findings
  • Improved governance and accountability
  • Rebuilding depositor confidence

Governor Mansur noted that headline inflation (point-to-point) has already begun to ease thanks to coordinated demand- and supply-side measures, while the Balance of Payments (BoP) has improved, helping to stabilise the exchange rate and contain imported inflation.

Fiscal Policy Alignment

Bangladesh Bank has aligned its monetary strategy with the government’s budgetary targets for FY26:

Target Indicator Goal for FY26
GDP Growth 5.5%
Inflation Ceiling 6.5%

 

The central bank remains committed to price stability, exchange rate resilience, and sustainable economic growth, while signalling flexibility in policy should external or domestic risks intensify.

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