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France’s Credit Downgrade Highlights Urgent Need to Pass 2026 Budget, Says Minister

Khabor Wala Desk

Published: 18th October 2025, 12:35 PM

France’s Credit Downgrade Highlights Urgent Need to Pass 2026 Budget, Says Minister

France’s Economy Minister Roland Lescure described the latest downgrade of the nation’s credit rating as “a wake-up call”, urging parliament to swiftly approve the 2026 budget to restore economic stability and investor confidence.

Speaking on Franceinfo radio on Saturday, Lescure acknowledged the seriousness of the downgrade, remarking: “This is an additional cloud to a weather report that is already quite grey,”

— a pointed metaphor for France’s increasingly fragile economic outlook.

 

France, which already carries one of the largest public debt burdens in the European Union, finds itself caught in a parliamentary deadlock over its national budget.

The government’s fiscal plans have repeatedly stalled due to deep divisions in the National Assembly, where President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist coalition lacks an outright majority.

In a move aimed at mending political fractures, newly appointed Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu recently withdrew a controversial pension reform proposal that sought to raise the retirement age — a policy widely opposed by both lawmakers and the public.

Lecornu’s decision helped him survive two no-confidence motions this week, but analysts warn that the delay in fiscal reform could further erode investor trust in France’s ability to manage its growing deficit.

 

S&P Global Ratings on Friday became the third major credit agency in under a year to lower France’s sovereign credit rating, downgrading it from AA- to A+.

The decision follows similar moves by:

Credit Rating Agency Previous Rating Current Rating Date of Downgrade
Fitch Ratings AA- A+ October 2025 (less than a week ago)
Moody’s Aa2 Aa3 December 2024
S&P Global AA- A+ October 2025

 

S&P explained its rationale, stating that “uncertainty on France’s government finances remains elevated”, citing the country’s ongoing budgetary impasse and rising interest costs on public debt.

 

According to EU fiscal rules, member states are expected to maintain:

  • Public deficits no higher than 3% of GDP
  • Public debt capped at 60% of GDP

However, France’s fiscal indicators currently exceed both thresholds:

Indicator Current Level (2025) EU Target Notes
Public Deficit 5.4% of GDP ≤ 3% Target to reduce to 4.7% by end of 2026
Public Debt Nearly 120% of GDP ≤ 60% Third-highest in the EU after Greece and Italy

 

Minister Lescure emphasised that the draft 2026 budget, presented to parliament earlier this week, aims to gradually narrow the deficit through spending controls and modest revenue increases.

“We are targeting a reduction of the public deficit from 5.4 percent of GDP this year to 4.7 percent by the end of next year,” Lescure stated.

He also reiterated the government’s commitment to fiscal responsibility while maintaining flexibility for defence and strategic investments, which are permitted under EU leeway provisions.

 

Despite the downgrade, Lescure maintained that France’s economic fundamentals remain strong, pointing to resilient employment figures and steady industrial output. However, economists warn that sustained political deadlock could undermine reform efforts and weaken Paris’s credibility in European fiscal negotiations.

The downgrade marks another blow to President Macron’s administration, which is struggling to balance fiscal consolidation, political compromise, and social discontent ahead of key regional and European elections.

“Passing the budget is not just a technical step,” Lescure concluded.
“It is a signal — to markets, to our partners, and to our citizens — that France remains capable of governing itself responsibly.”

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