Semi-Final Permutations Intensify

The race for the final two semi-final places at the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup has reached a thrilling crescendo. Two teams have already secured their passage to the last four: South Africa from Group 1 and England from Group 2. That leaves four contenders still in contention—West Indies and India in Group 1, alongside New Zealand and Pakistan in Group 2.

Eliminated from the tournament are Zimbabwe and Sri Lanka, both having failed to register the necessary results in the Super Eight stage.

Group 2: England Through, One Spot Remains

With England already assured of a semi-final berth, attention turns to who will join them.

Group 2 Standings

England v New Zealand — Colombo

England, already qualified, will top the group if they win.

A defeat would see them finish second, potentially setting up a semi-final against the Group 1 winners.

For New Zealand, victory guarantees qualification.

Even if the match is abandoned, New Zealand would progress.

Should they lose, their fate would depend on net run rate calculations—provided Pakistan defeat Sri Lanka convincingly.

Sri Lanka v Pakistan — Pallekele (28 February)

Pakistan’s situation is precarious and not entirely within their control:

If New Zealand defeat England—or if that match is washed out—Pakistan will be eliminated regardless of their own result.

Pakistan can only qualify if New Zealand lose to England. In that case, Pakistan must defeat Sri Lanka and overturn the net run rate deficit.

Sri Lanka, having lost both fixtures, are already out of contention.

The permutations place New Zealand in a strong position, while Pakistan require both favourable circumstances and a commanding win.

Group 1: A Virtual Quarter-Final

Group 1 presents a more straightforward equation. South Africa have secured qualification and now seek to confirm top spot.

Group 1 Standings

Zimbabwe v South Africa — Delhi (1 March)

South Africa are already through. Victory would ensure they top the group.

Zimbabwe were eliminated after successive defeats and have only pride to play for.

India v West Indies — Kolkata (1 March)

This contest has effectively become a quarter-final:

The winner will advance to the semi-finals.

If the match is abandoned, West Indies will progress courtesy of their superior net run rate.

With qualification hinging on a single fixture, the clash between India and West Indies promises high drama. India must win outright, while West Indies could advance even without a ball being bowled.